Tuesday, 31 May 2011

A Springboard from Which to Explore and Ask Why?


So where is the Corporate Raid going to be, My guess Iran needs to Look out? Libya is a Sorbet after the Iraqi Starter a clearing of the pallette ahead of the Entre that is Iran.
This strangulation of the money supply By the Banks is fully Government backed, Ellen Brown is very persuasive in the Banking aspects of Libya, then take Pakistani policy and China Trade.








A journey around Connectivity and Is the BBC biased we're All Anti Fragile Now!


Good Article. Robert Peston is a good egg in my book sadly hemmed in by the censorious excesses of the Beeb.
nef has been shining the light on monetary reform for some time now (see previous blogs on the topic) so it was gratifying to see Robert Peston opening last night's BBC documentary on the banks examining this bigger picture question. Sadly, he d

Contrast With and so on Back to the elephant and eventualy busy fools ending up with the,



The BBC does seem to have undergone something of a face lift in the past few years its corporatisation is a very bad thing, the same thing has happened at Universities and most other institutions. He who pays the piper calls the tune has never had more resonance.
I worked for Shell UK in the mid 80's when the Piper Alpha Disaster happened, I enjoyed my time there and made some lasting friendships in the bubble of the big corporation you do get a bit Stepford Wife about the whole thing and certainly do not get to see the whole picture far from it, and the dazzling cult of the corporate bosom certainly smothers much of a chance of getting an independent overview.
It does seem a strange way to answer a question with a question or accusation. The BBC is very bad on Libya and the Obama and Royal Wedding stuff was sycophantic. I am an ex pat living in Sweden now and hardly bother with the Today Program no question according to this adopted Viking the BBC has been nobbled.


--Previous Message--
: The BBC’s Middle East Bureau Chief, Paul
: Danahar, shares senior editorial
: responsibility for ensuring balanced and
: impartial BBC News coverage from Israel and
: Palestine. Rather than provide substantive
: answers to the serious questions raised in
: our latest media alert, he apparently first
: requires a ‘mea culpa’ from David Cromwell
: making clear that DC ‘deeply regrets his
: actions, or lack of them’ in working for
: Shell in the Netherlands between 1989-1993.
: What could possibly justify such a slippery
: response from a senior BBC editor?
:
: There's a lot that could be said about this.
: But the issue of supposed hypocrisy is a red
: herring based on a fundamental
: misunderstanding of our argument. Most of us
: work for corporations, most of us buy their
: products and services, and most of us pay
: taxes that feed the war machine. We all
: began life as infant narcissists. We are all
: still prone to the self-interested, greedy,
: egotistic, angry thoughts that are
: entrenched in our destructive society. We
: could all be doing more to make the world a
: better place. None of us is beyond blame.
: But then blame has never been the issue for
: us. The issue is that we should all be
: challenging each other - challenging,
: listening and changing - in order to make
: the world a saner, less destructive place.
: We have to because the world is rapidly
: going to hell in a handcart.
:
: We are not pretending that we are paragons
: of virtue and we are not saying that Paul
: Danahar is a 'bad man' for working at the
: BBC. We are saying that we believe that BBC
: News offers a biased version of events
: favouring the powerful on Israel-Palestine
: and many other key issues. And we're
: offering solid and ample evidence, arguments
: and sources in support of our claims. We're
: asking Paul Danahar and the BBC to respond
: rationally to our arguments so that people
: can make up their own minds on who is making
: most sense. Then it's up to the public, and
: indeed BBC journalists, how they want to
: respond. We don't ask the BBC or readers to
: respond on the basis that we are teetering
: on the edge of Enlightenment. We ask them to
: respond if they think our arguments are
: reasonable and important. Frankly, we could
: be complete moral reprobates. But if our
: arguments make sense, and if people think
: the oppression of Palestinians matters, then
: they should still think about how things
: might be improved to relieve suffering. It
: is the arguments that matter, and the
: suffering, not whether DC is a virtuous
: individual.

Contrast With,

Good Article. Robert Peston is a good egg in my book sadly hemmed in by the censorious excesses of the Beeb.
nef has been shining the light on monetary reform for some time now (see previous blogs on the topic) so it was gratifying to see Robert Peston opening last night's BBC documentary on the banks examining this bigger picture question. Sadly, he d


:
:

Wonderful Term, “DEAD TREE AUTHORS”
Hey Alan, under what name was Harvat's physics thesis written? — goethean 21:27, 30 January 2006 (UTC)
Hi Goethean. I'm not sure, I could probably find out, but I don't think there is anything notable about the thesis.
I checked the nomination for deletion page and there are 4 delete votes so far - (3 for speedy), so i guess the article will be deleted. I'll copy the latest version to the Integralwiki project so it won't be lost. M Alan Kazlev 21:57, 30 January 2006 (UTC)
Well, if the thesis was published, that could be a reason to keep the article. Dead tree-published authors are usually considered inherently notable. Web-published authors, not so. Also, the article-for-deletion doesn't work on a majoritarian basis; there must be consensus in order to delete. — goethean 16:25, 31 January 2006 (UTC)

M Alen Kazlev, some reading to do here for sure.

Found following a link fro the Positive Money Web Site.

by RogerGLewis » Wed 25th May, 2011 (10:44)
Uncertainty and Algorithms and other statistical devices are used to control our expectations and mould our perceptions ,
Banking is no less manipulative of its own narrative.

I did this brief blog which for me represents a video representation of the abstractions we accept as empirical.


by whaha » Tue 10th May, 2011 (05:34)
I have been searching for a some sort of Dutch Monetary Reform for a while now, but sadly enough I haven't found one.
Therefore I'm conducting a research in to the possiblities of creating one.

Is there anyone here who would like to join me or can guide me in the right direction?
I'll add more information to this topic when available.
 
Posts: 1
Joined: Tue 10th May, 2011 (05:23)


















Rhetoric Propaganda" The Industrial Monetary Complex"


Rhetoric Propaganda" The Industrial Monetary Complex"

Postby RogerGLewis » Wed 25th May, 2011 (05:58)
For the past Two years I have followed with increasing amazement the sheer un evenness of the Debate on Climate Change by any stretch for research science it is almost completely one sided. The money is backing the CO2 side of the debate and they have the PR budgets sewn up as well as most of the research money. I am an Environmentalist probably what some might even describe as being of a Tree Hugging bent I find the Notion of Carbon Trading highly suspect my preferred solution is to Tax the Polluter at source and provide disincentives to creating unnecessary demand. Typical chicken and egg stuff but consumerism is the invention of capitalism in my own world view( YMMV ) That wonderful internetism "Your Mileage May Vary". is applicable to to all statements one might make of opinion or indeed apparent empirical notions.
So why is it relevant, well cue music. Sleepers Awake, J. S Bach, Black Beauty or Llyods TSB Theme Tune. To challenge the hugely profitable vested interests. That what is proposed challenges this, is just one example of the ingrained acceptance of their existence and safeness conditioned into all of our psyches they have the Right to be the custodians of their System which is for our benefit how dare we question.

The Economist is running discussion on whether Banking is now safe, This was posted in the discussion this morning.

Abraham Baeza • Yes it's safe and will continue to do so for the next few years. Sure some banks will be sacrificed and millions of jobs, assets and money will be lost with new schemes and complex investments, but it's naive to consider a world without banks or financial institutions. I'm pretty sure the banking system will remain stable as long as there's need for capital and money supply.

I replied.

Roger Lewis • Abraham, No one in the preceding comments even hints at a world without Banks or Financial institutions. As for the notion of sacrificing some banks and blithe acceptance of new schemes and complex investments I wonder at which school of comic / tradgedy you took the unit on? Perhaps it was Ironic observational deconstructionism, taught by a certain M Freidman at Chicago. 
The banking system is a feral WMD and systemically unstable What Nassim N Taleb calls 
"epistemic arrogance" typifies the Arrogance of the System and this is not safe.

http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/tenprinciples.pdf

You can join in the discussion here.
http://www.linkedin.com/groupItem?view= ... D_40191302

There are other examples of the well meaning Group Think that will be encountered there are evangelical believers in the Status quo and it is this army of footsoldiers who will be motivated into getting the Vote Out against the "Deniers" "Flat Earthers" " Tin Foil Hatters" we may as well choose a perjorative we also find amusing right now and try and introduce it as the common coinage of phrase. Something that conjures up the idea of Profligate scroungers would be ideal maybe "the Rakes". Anyway I think you can see where I'm going with this. Heres the communication strategy for the Climate Carbon Trading Lobby this is what we will be up against.
https://docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&pid= ... 3&hl=en_US

Anyway I thought a communication/ PR strategy would be a sensible discussion to start.

All the Best

Roger
Heres a web site link to Futerra the PR/AD agency behind the Rules of the Game document. The Banks will have lots of Futerra's

http://www.futerra.co.uk/revolution/leading_thinking

I used to employ PR, Advertising and Political lobbyist firms in my own Businesses. These guys lie for a living, can be reasonable fun at Lunch but quite honestly their far from the wildest creatures in the Zoo of commerce.

Monday, 30 May 2011

Derivatives 101, Some stuff on Calculus.

Calculus , Derivatives, Assumptions and so on an so forth.
Here are some notes and links of some of my reading and watching this morning.
 I have spent this afternoon doing some mowing of the lawn Washing up and also some routine maintainence on My Mac and Net Book both of which have been getting a little clogged up and doing strange things into the bargain, all fixed now.

Very much a stream of consciousness but all the videos linked are very accessible and very basic with further links on the you tube pages to greater complexity as required.

Remember non of this is rocket science and everything is comprehensible and accessible if broken down to its components and an understanding built from the ground up.


Derivatives 101.









Watch Listen Learn always Question?.
Why is the most important question, ( Sometimes) is the most important qualification.
Never is a very dangerous Answer.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RVswT6cSzvc&feature=relmfu
The Governement and the Banks Know whats going on but tell us one thing meaning another
When I say they know whats going on that is only up to a point they haven't factored in the variable
that great un known of how many of the people you can fool for some of the time Barnumomics meets Obabama nomics meets Balmynomics.

A variable in Climate, Layers of the Earth.



article Physics and the solar wind.



I'll be doing something more structured in Due course. I am trying to get my Calculus up to snuff for a pamphlet I plan on Publish regarding reform of Mortgage Finance in disfunctional markets, like we have now.



 










Don't Look Back, Pillars of Salt.


Some Old Blog Posts and Links.

http://www.lovemoney.com/qanda/question/48597/-would-any-fool-recommend-buying-a-property-with-friends-in-the-economic-turmoil
RogerGLewis posted
Why Not. I believe there are shared ownership agreements which can be provided by your solicitor setting out the terms of agreement with your joint investors. Any collective investment vehicle will involve accommodating your investment partners changing circumstances over time.
My own view is if you have the finance then with a long term view your running yield from the investment you make and overall returns including capital returns over even a 5 to 10 year period would be much better than most buy to let landlords have had for most of the 2000's.( the capital returns are unlikely to be better than those who sold up before mid 2007, your rental yield almost certainly will be though)
Obviously you should invest bearing in mind potential rental voids and make provision for those. If you approach it in a professional manner with strict investment criteria I think you and your friends could do very well.
Posted on 18 January 2009 |
http://www.lovemoney.com/news/property-and-mortgages/house-prices/2325/why-house-prices-will-fall-this-year#comments
Dear Mr D'Arcy,
I am interested that your analysis completely ignores any supply side to the equation.
It is true that there is less mortgage finance available than for some time and also that the Market has taken a substantial Hit, not all home owners are in trouble however and indeed many are very comfortable with the historically low interest rates. At prices below sellers expectations there will be less sellers which will balance the lower demand. Further lack of funding of new development will further restrict supply. Adam Smiths invisible Hand is at work here the supply curve will shift as indeed the demand curve has at a point prices will not fall further, when will that point be?
Personally I think your article calls it wrong.
Anyone thinking of Buying Buy now get a big deposit borrow it from your parents , Grand Parents aunts uncles older siblings get them to increase their mortgages to borrow against the substantial equity that a large number of we older fortunate people have and are still sitting on. Get in there now there wont be a better chance than this for another 25 years.
There are two sides to every equation at least and Mr D'arcy by neglecting the supply side of this one is doing you a disservice if he is discouraging you from doing what it takes to get yourself a bargain now. Make sure you can pay the mortgage you commit to when rates go back up to 5% in two years time or so.
Just My opinion but I am a Chartered surveyor and Property Developer that Retired from the London Docklands Market in 2003, having banked substantial profits made from 1989 thru to 2003, I know what I am talking about.But don't take my advice think it through and satisfy yourself of all the facts.
Reporton 15 January 2009  |  Love  0 love

Just re read this whole debate from January 2009 on House prices. It's strange even though I now believ the Banking System has to be reformed root and branch and the intervening 2 years or so has brought to light a hell of a lot of stuff about liquidity ratios at Banks going beserk I wonder How positions on this discussinon would now change.
My philosophical outlook has changed markedly and my world view is certainly one that yes as an earlier poster in this discussion pointed out perhaps my own timing and decisions were more due to luck than Judgement. I would have to agree with those sentiments absolutely , perhaps for different reasons than the comment might have been implying, but I see the observation as very wise non the less. It also reminds me of where I first came across the Elephant tale.

Just re visited this after a very long couple of years and placed this observation in a blog I am writing.
Heres my Full Comment I hope to re kindle the discussion for some further thoughts.

Just re read this whole debate from January 2009 on House prices. It's strange even though I now believe the Banking System has to be reformed root and branch and the intervening 2 years or so has brought to light a hell of a lot of stuff about liquidity ratios at Banks going berserk I wonder How positions on this discussion would now change?
My philosophical outlook has changed markedly and my world view is certainly one that, yes, as an earlier poster in this discussion pointed out , "perhaps my own timing and decisions were more due to luck than Judgement". I would have to agree with those sentiments absolutely , perhaps for different reasons than the comment might have been implying, but I see the observation as very wise non the less. It also reminds me of where I first came across the Elephant tale.
I would be interested to know if anyone did buy after reading this article and how it worked out. I currently writing an a pamphlet suggesting reform to the valuation of property by Mortgagees in possession to take account of Economic replacement costs
as I believe the potential for a devastating Crash is a very real and present danger
There is a very strong undercurrent in the geo political/economic out look that requires a paradigm shift in thought and deed.
Anyway hello to anyone who contributed to this discussion would be great to have a re unioun discussion so to speak and reflect on what we were thinking back then and what we think now , that would be a very useful thing I think.

A post about Spin



rogerglewis
I think personally that most of the above analysis misses the point Labour has to be handed back to the Grass roots and the corporate agenda and tactics of spin abandoned. New Labour New Tories New Lib Dem they are as we see in America all lobbyist fodder now.
Local Labour Parties should re select all member and perspective candidates and establish their own media outlet free of contributions or any patronage on the Internet. Give the ideas and policies back to the membership for the people.
The concept of , “If you cant beat them join them” has not worked the wholesale adoption of the Precautionary Principle over rational discussion has divorced our Government from the people. What the Labour Party Has to do is divorce itself from the game of Spin and PR and try some good old fashioned truth and real democracy.
People will soon catch on, acquiescing in the continued Hijack of government by the Corporate State what Mrs Thatcher ( Then) used to Call GB Limited is a busted Flush.
There is a need for real Radicalism to find the real solutions to our Political Economy.
I think a Walk out or some sort of disruption of the Business of the House of commons should be devised to demonstrate the lack of validity to what we call our Government.
More smoked filled rooms and beer a sandwiches less of the Latte and Croissant’s more substance and less packaging this whole Brand leveraging nonsense has to stop.
May 8, 2011 at 4:45 pm 

I found a google search of my Gravataar address threw up some posts in various blog discussions that I had made, I'm just refreshing my memory of some old reference points
and ideas so I can revisit and re interpet.
As Lord Keynes said, "If the facts change then so might my opinion" ( approx recollection)

I alluded to this Elephant Proverb.

I used to post on a popular Finance Blog on the property Market.
I alluded to this proverb the other day and find it's not the first time I thought it apt
when generalising on the broad church that is punditry of any kind.

RogerGLewis said
John Godfrey Saxe's ( 1816-1887) version of the famous Indian legend,
It was six men of Indostan
To learning much inclined,
Who went to see the Elephant
(Though all of them were blind),
That each by observation
Might satisfy his mind.
The First approach'd the Elephant,
And happening to fall
Against his broad and sturdy side,
At once began to bawl:
"God bless me! but the Elephant
Is very like a wall!"
The Second, feeling of the tusk,
Cried, -"Ho! what have we here
So very round and smooth and sharp?
To me 'tis mighty clear
This wonder of an Elephant
Is very like a spear!"
The Third approached the animal,
And happening to take
The squirming trunk within his hands,
Thus boldly up and spake:
"I see," quoth he, "the Elephant
Is very like a snake!"
The Fourth reached out his eager hand,
And felt about the knee.
"What most this wondrous beast is like
Is mighty plain," quoth he,
"'Tis clear enough the Elephant
Is very like a tree!"
The Fifth, who chanced to touch the ear,
Said: "E'en the blindest man
Can tell what this resembles most;
Deny the fact who can,
This marvel of an Elephant
Is very like a fan!"
The Sixth no sooner had begun
About the beast to grope,
Then, seizing on the swinging tail
That fell within his scope,
"I see," quoth he, "the Elephant
Is very like a rope!"
And so these men of Indostan
Disputed loud and long,
Each in his own opinion
Exceeding stiff and strong,
Though each was partly in the right,
And all were in the wrong!
MORAL.
So oft in theologic wars,
The disputants, I ween,
Rail on in utter ignorance
Of what each other mean,
And prate about an Elephant
Not one of them has seen!
Reporton 08 February 2009  |  Love thisLove  0 love
http://www.lovemoney.com/news/property-and-mortgages/house-prices/2325/why-house-prices-will-fall-this-year